Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001117 0.001268 0.001420 0.001584 0.001757 0.001931 0.002122
2025-06-01 0.000847 0.001058 0.001279 0.001526 0.001793 0.002069 0.002376
2025-06-08 0.000666 0.000920 0.001197 0.001515 0.001865 0.002236 0.002654
2025-06-15 0.000565 0.000858 0.001188 0.001576 0.002011 0.002478 0.003010
2025-06-22 0.000431 0.000742 0.001107 0.001548 0.002053 0.002603 0.003236
2025-06-29 0.000342 0.000668 0.001067 0.001561 0.002136 0.002769 0.003505
2025-07-06 0.000311 0.000664 0.001107 0.001665 0.002321 0.003047 0.003896
2025-07-13 0.000229 0.000580 0.001043 0.001640 0.002353 0.003152 0.004093
2025-07-20 0.000150 0.000485 0.000956 0.001582 0.002343 0.003204 0.004227
2025-07-27 0.000118 0.000456 0.000953 0.001624 0.002447 0.003385 0.004504
2025-08-03 0.000076 0.000401 0.000908 0.001610 0.002484 0.003487 0.004690
2025-08-10 0.000031 0.000315 0.000812 0.001526 0.002430 0.003481 0.004752
2025-08-17 0.000004 0.000247 0.000748 0.001498 0.002468 0.003608 0.004995
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000172 0.000660 0.001434 0.002460 0.003681 0.005181
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000126 0.000609 0.001418 0.002510 0.003824 0.005448
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000109 0.000610 0.001474 0.002652 0.004078 0.005846
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000070 0.000556 0.001445 0.002683 0.004197 0.006085
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000049 0.000530 0.001456 0.002765 0.004377 0.006396
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000049 0.000562 0.001556 0.002964 0.004698 0.006873
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000026 0.000516 0.001531 0.002996 0.004815 0.007107
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000007 0.000454 0.001474 0.002982 0.004873 0.007270
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000003 0.000451 0.001514 0.003097 0.005091 0.007621
2025-10-26 NaN NaN 0.000418 0.001501 0.003139 0.005216 0.007861